Date: Sat, 8 Oct 94 04:30:09 PDT From: Info-Hams Mailing List and Newsgroup Errors-To: Info-Hams-Errors@UCSD.Edu Reply-To: Info-Hams@UCSD.Edu Precedence: List Subject: Info-Hams Digest V94 #1105 To: Info-Hams Info-Hams Digest Sat, 8 Oct 94 Volume 94 : Issue 1105 Today's Topics: IPS Daily Report - 07 October 94 Send Replies or notes for publication to: Send subscription requests to: Problems you can't solve otherwise to brian@ucsd.edu. Archives of past issues of the Info-Hams Digest are available (by FTP only) from UCSD.Edu in directory "mailarchives/info-hams". We trust that readers are intelligent enough to realize that all text herein consists of personal comments and does not represent the official policies or positions of any party. Your mileage may vary. So there. ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 7 Oct 1994 23:46:54 GMT From: rwc@flare.syd.ips.oz.au (Regional Warning Centre) Subject: IPS Daily Report - 07 October 94 SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT ISSUED AT 07/2330Z OCTOBER 1994 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES FROM THE REGIONAL WARNING CENTRE (RWC), SYDNEY. SUMMARY FOR 07 OCTOBER AND FORECAST FOR 08 OCTOBER - 10 OCTOBER ----------------------------------------------------------- 1A. SOLAR SUMMARY Activity: low Flares: none. Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number : 84/26 GOES satellite data for 06 Oct Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV: 1.6E+07 Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV: 1.3E+04 Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 6.5E+08 (high) X-ray background: A5.7 Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day. 1B. SOLAR FORECAST 08 Oct 09 Oct 10 Oct Activity Low Low Low Fadeouts None expected None expected None expected Forecast 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 08 Oct: 85/27 ----------------------------------------------------------- 2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY Geomagnetic field at Learmonth: active Estimated Indices : A K Observed A Index 06 Oct Learmonth 22 3432 5443 Fredericksburg 23 23 Planetary 23 32 Observed Kp for 06 Oct: 4555 4434 2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST DATE Ap CONDITIONS 08 Oct 16 Unsettled 09 Oct 14 Unsettled 10 Oct 10 Quiet to unsettled COMMENT: Active periods possible during local night as coronal hole induced activity declines. ----------------------------------------------------------- 3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY LATITUDE BAND DATE LOW MIDDLE HIGH 07 Oct normal fair-normal poor-normal PCA Event : None. 3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST LATITUDE BAND DATE LOW MIDDLE HIGH 08 Oct normal fair poor 09 Oct normal normal fair 10 Oct normal normal fair ----------------------------------------------------------- 4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY Observed DATE T-index MUFs at Sydney 07 Oct -30 about 30% below predicted monthly values Predicted Monthly T-index for October: 20 4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST DATE T-index MUFs 08 Oct 20 Near predicted monthly values 09 Oct 20 Near predicted monthly values 10 Oct 20 Near predicted monthly values COMMENT: Ionospheric conditions appear to have recovered, at both Sydney and Townsville. A general improvement in HF conditions should be experienced today. -- IPS Regional Warning Centre, Sydney |IPS Radio and Space Services RWC Duty Forecaster tel: +61 2 4148329 |PO Box 5606 Recorded Message tel: +61 2 4148330 |West Chatswood NSW 2057 email: rwc@ips.oz.au fax: +61 2 4148331 |AUSTRALIA ------------------------------ End of Info-Hams Digest V94 #1105 ******************************